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Australia

What to expect from the G7 Summit

written by: Tom Harley and Hon Robert Hill AC

Tom Harley and the Hon Robert Hill AC write on what to expect from the upcoming G7 Leaders' Summit in Cornwall. 

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China's new growth model

written by: Michael Gill & Henry Storey

Asia Director Michael Gill and Asia-focused analyst Henry Storey write on China's changing growth model.

 

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Europe's Green New Deal

written by: Jean-Marie Guéhenno

Jean-Marie Guéhenno explores the political and geopolitical implications of Europe's Green New Deal. 

 

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Technological Opportunity and A Moment of Strategic Vulnerability

written by: Nick Warner AO PSM

Dragoman Counsellor Nick Warner AO PSM explores potential changes to US policy on Artificial Intelligence and the implications for Australia. 

 

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Australia needs to draw a line between policy and posturing on China

written by: John McCarthy AO

John McCarthy AO writes on Australia's relationship with China.

 

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Biden and Turkey

written by: Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG

Sir Kieran Prendergast writes on the state of US-Turkey ties under President Biden. 

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Biden and the Middle East

written by: Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG

Sir Kieran Prendergast examines President Biden's evolving Middle East policy.

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Australia needs to step in to help India

written by: John McCarthy AO

Dragoman Counsellor John McCarthy AO shares his thoughts on why Australia should share its good fortune with India.

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Climate change "I did it my way"

written by: Hon Robert Hill AC

Chairman of Counsellors the Hon Robert Hill AC writes on Australia's approach to emissions reduction.
 

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Biden-Suga Summit

written by: John McCarthy AO

John McCarthy AO writes on President Biden's recent summit with Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga.

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A US withdrawal from Afghanistan

written by: Tom Gregg

Dragoman Counsellor Tom Gregg writes on the US' imminent withdrawal from Afghanistan. 

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Is Soft Power back in fashion?

written by: John McCarthy AO

John McCarthy AO writes on the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue's embrace of Soft power.

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EU & COVID19

written by: Jean-Marie Guéhenno

Jean-Marie Guéhenno analyses the political implications of the EU's economic recovery efforts. 

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Biden & Israel/Palestine

written by: Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG

Sir Kieran Prendergast writes on what the incoming Biden Administration means for the Israel/Palestine conflict. 

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No easy way out in Myanmar

written by: Michael Gill

Michael Gill writes on Myanmar's February 1 military coup. 

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Determining President Biden’s least-bad option for Afghanistan

written by: Tom Gregg

A time-sensitive commentary on Afghanistan by Tom Gregg – ahead of President Biden's imminent announcement on the US' future policy direction in Afghanistan. 

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Vietnam –13th Party Congress

written by: John McCarthy AO

John McCarthy AO writes on what to expect from Vietnam's upcoming National Party Congress. 

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Trump has permanently trashed America’s reputation

written by: John McCarthy AO

John McCarthy AO explores the strategic impacts of the Capitol Hill riot on May 6, 2021. 

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Who is driving the low carbon wagon?

written by: Hon Robert Hill AC

Chairman of Counsellors the Hon Robert Hill AC explores who is shaping Australia's climate change and energy policy. 

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Biden & South East Asia

written by: John McCarthy AO

John McCarthy AO explores some of the challenges facing US policy in Southeast Asia. 

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Biden & Europe

written by: Jean-Marie Guéhenno

Jean-Marie Guéhenno explores what a Biden Presidency will mean for Europe.

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The Japan Visit

written by: John McCarthy AO

John McCarthy AO analyses Prime Minister Morrison's visit to Japan. 

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Indonesia and the Biden Presidency

written by: Bill Farmer AO

Bill Farmer writes on what a Biden Presidency will mean for Indonesia.

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First Fuel

written by: Hon Robert Hill AC

Hon Robert Hill AC writes on the Australian Government's Technology Investment Roadmap. 

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Thailand –The Rumbles Get Louder

written by: John McCarthy AO

John McCarthy AO writes on the recent protests in Thailand.

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The Dangers of Excessive Foreign Policy Zeal

written by: John McCarthy AO

John McCarthy AO on the dangers of excessive zealotry in Australian foreign policy. 

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What to expect from Yoshihide Suga

written by: Michael Gill

Michael Gill writes on Japan’s new Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga.

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“The Biden Plan for a Clean Energy Revolution and Environmental Justice”

written by: Hon Robert Hill AC

Hon Robert Hill AC explores what Joe Biden's climate policy would mean for Australia. 

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The Abraham Accord: Breakthrough –or Bauble?

written by: Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG

Sir Kieran Prendergast outlines the implications of the UAE-Israel 'peace' deal. 

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Celebrity likely to win out over policy in Myanmar election

written by: Michael Gill

Executive Counsellor Michael Gill analyses the likely outcomes of the upcoming Myanmar election. 

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Africa-Europe partnership

written by: Haile Menkerios

Dragoman Counsellor Haile Menkerios's speech from the Annual Conference of the European Council of Foreign Relations. Unfortunately, Haile was unable to speak in person due to an internet shutdown after unrest in Addis Ababa.

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Comments on 2020 Defence Strategic Update and 2020 Defence Structure

written by: Hon Robert Hill AC

Dragoman's Chairman of Counsellors, the Hon Robert Hill AC examines the recent 2020 Defence Strategic Update and the 2020 Defence Force Structure plan.

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COVID19 - the long road ahead

written by: Tom Gregg

Counsellor Tom Gregg cautions against confident predictions about the "post-virus" world.

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2020 Outlook on Egypt

written by: Bob Bowker

Dragoman's Strategic Advisor Ambassador Bob Bowker examines how COVID19 is affecting Egypt. 

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Wake-up Call

written by: Anthony Salz

Counsellor Sir Anthony Salz examines the emerging risks facing humanity and how Boards can respond. 

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Reform and investment opportunities in Sudan and Ethiopia

written by: Haile Menkerios

Counsellor Haile Menkerios outlines emerging investment opportunities in Sudan and Ethiopia. 

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Oil and Virus - A Volatile Mix

written by: Tom Harley and David Pickavance

Tom Harley and David Pickavance write on the latest developments of tensions in the global oil markets and the likely geopolitical consequences of unprecedentedly low prices.
 

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Changes in the Middle East

written by: Jade Evans

Jade Evans, Director of Middle East and Africa at Dragoman, examines recent changes in the Middle East

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South America's Political Turmoil: Understanding the Consequences

written by: Tom Shannon

Ambassador Thomas Shannon explains what's behind the latest wave of protests in South America and comments on the region’s broader social and economic needs.

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The Australian Political Scene

written by: Tom Harley

Tom Harley provides an update on Australia's current political situation.

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Trust, Stewardship and Long-Term Growth

written by: Anthony Salz

Sir Anthony Salz discusses changes in attitudes towards responsibilities in corporate governance and the positive shift towards longer-term thinking.

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The New European Commission

written by: Jean-Marie Guéhenno

Jean-Marie Guéhenno considers the new European Commission, the issues it will face and the need for it to recapture its central role in the European Union.

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Hong Kong: Tinder and Spark

written by: Yew Boon Chia

Yew Boon Chia outlines the protests in Hong Kong.

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Central Asia's Stans - Not to be overlooked!

written by: Dr Andreas Baumgartner

Dr Andreas Baumgartner outlines developments in Central Asia.

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Israel/Palestine: Past the Point of No Return?

written by: Kieran Prendergast

Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG discusses the recent changes in American policy towards Israel and its impact on peace with Palestine.

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Hard Times in India

written by: John McCarthy

John McCarthy AO outlines the challenges currently faced by India.

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US-China Trade War

written by: Yew Boon Chia

Yew Boon Chia offers an overview of the US – China trade war and discusses its impacts on both countries and the region.

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Australian Defence Opportunities - The Next Wave

written by: Andrew Garth

Andrew Garth, Advanced Manufacturing and Defence Director at Dragoman, explores the next wave of opportunities in Australia’s growing defence industry.

 

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Is Erdogan more vulnerable than he looks?

written by: Kieran Prendergast

Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG discusses how Turkish President Erdogan is not as all-powerful as he may appear, as he is confronted by increasing opposition domestically and abroad. Download commentary

Vietnam: Next Steps

written by: John McCarthy

John McCarthy AO provides an outline of Vietnam’s promise for strong economic performance over the next decade.

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Papua New Guinea: The Year Ahead

written by: Bill Farmer AO

Bill Farmer discusses the coming year in PNG

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Desperate times in Zimbabwe

written by: Kieran Prendergast

Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG outlines the dire situation in Zimbabwe.

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Jokowi's Second Term

written by: Michael Gill

Michael Gill, Asia Director at Dragoman, outlines the changes Indonesian President Joko Widodo has made to his cabinet and discusses the President’s focus on reform.

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Energy Challenges in Australia

written by: David Pickavance

David Pickavance, Energy and Natural Resources Director at Dragoman, analyses the challenges facing Australia’s energy sector an Download commentary

UK General Election

written by: Malcolm Rifkind

Sir Malcolm Rifkind KCMG QC analyses the implications of the 2019 British election result and dispels any notion that Boris Johnson is a political acolyte of President Trump.

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Financial Tinder

written by: Michael Gill

Michael Gill, Asia Director at Dragoman, discusses the global macroeconomic situation.

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China's Engagement in the Horn of Africa

written by: Haile Menkerios

Haile Menkerios explores China’s engagement and interests in the Horn of Africa, with a particular focus on Ethiopia and Djibouti. 

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Peace in Afghanistan

written by: Tom Gregg

Tom Gregg analyses recent developments in the previously stalled Afghan peace process.

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Australia's Climate Change Policy

written by: Robert Hill

Hon Robert Hill AC, Chairman of Counsellors at Dragoman, discusses Australia's climate change policy.

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Jokowi selects a Cabinet fit for his agenda

written by: Michael Gill

Indonesian President Joko Widodo appointed a Cabinet that aligns with his preferred conservative reform agenda, focusing on tangible economic and social outcomes. 

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An Albanese Labor Opposition - what will the ALP do now?

written by: Scott Gartrell

Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese will seek to conduct an internal review of the Labor Party's current policies in light of the May election loss. 

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The growth of China as it affects Europe

written by: Rt Hon Sir Malcolm Rifkind KCMG QC

Despite China's growth, Europe still tends to see it as a faraway country of which they know little of. 

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Turkey and the Middle East

written by: Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG

Turkey sits at a crossroads geographically and in terms of identity, its regional relationships are diverse and complex. 

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Is Erdogan Losing His Touch?

written by: Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG

The results of the Istanbul mayoral election rerun has cast a shadow over President Recep Tayyip Erdogan's grip on power. 

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Papua New Guinea: Questions Loom

written by: Bill Farmer AO

International companies will need to watch closely how Papua New Guinea's new Prime Minister, James Marape, responds to the country's serious budgetary challenges and the Bougainville referendum in October. 

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Sudan: Prospects for change

written by: Haile Menkerios

The Transitional Military Council's transitional power-sharing agreement provides the prospects for change that can lead to continued stability, peace and development for Sudan. 

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Modi - The Next Phase

written by: John McCarthy AO

Narendra Modi's successful win in India's general election marks the next phase of his second term, which will be dominated by issues within the financial services and agricultural sectors. 

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The Upcoming Australian Federal Election

written by: Tom Harley

For the incumbent Liberal Party to win the upcoming Australian Federal Election, it requires much more to go its way compared to Labor's course to victory. 

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Indonesian Elections Update

written by: Michael Gill

Update on Indonesian elections. 

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The Yellow Vests Continue

written by: Jean-Marie Guéhenno

The Yellow Vest movement continues to exploit the socioeconomic divisions within French society.  

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The Upcoming Kashmir, India Elections

written by: Tom Gregg

Tensions in Kashmir have fundamentally changed both the tone and tempo of India's upcoming national election. 

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What will a Labor Government mean for Defence Industry in Australia?

written by: Hon Greg Combet AM

A future Labor Government would be expected to actively engage with the Defense Industry. 

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Gilets Jaunes

written by: Jean-Marie Guéhenno

The Yellow Shirt movement in France has created a political crisis that is unlikely to end quickly.

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Repurposing Australia’s Waste

written by: Megan Redmond

Australia needs to create substantial value and demand for repurposed resources in its end market to facilitate a successful circular economy. 

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Energy Policy Disarray Continues

written by: Noel Williams

With the demise of the NEG, the Australian energy industry landscape once again enters the twilight zone with continued lack of alignment on solutions to the dilemma, and of course politics driving the agenda.

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A New Wave of Environmental Legislation

written by: Hon Robert Hill AC

The Labor Party are offering a new wave of environmental legislation not seen since the Howard era in the late 1990s.

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Why Australians are Unhappy with Government

written by: Tom Harley

Public dissatisfaction with Australia’s major political parties over a lack of a clear Energy Policy.

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Ethiopia: Ongoing Changes Under New Prime Minister

written by: Jean-Marie Guéhenno

Ethiopia’s newly elected Prime Minister Dr Abiy Ahmed is overseeing a fast and furious refor Download commentary

Libya: Geopolitics and Oil

written by: Vanessa Smith

While France and Italy jostle over becoming the lead power broker for Libya, the county’s troubled oil sector is showing signs of positive improvement.  

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2019 Australian Federal Election

written by: John Brenton

Australia’s Upcoming 2019 Federal Election

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Brazilian Elections: What’s Next

written by: Liam Eldon

Jair Bolsonaro’s victory is a circuit breaker for Brazilian politics and will usher in a new era for a country that has suffered from crime, corruption and stagnation over the past five years. 

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Malaria: An Ongoing Threat

written by: Jane Halton AO PSM

The First Malaria World Conference has re-cast the light upon the continued threat Malaria poses to global security and stability.

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Indonesia and Australia: Election Years Loom

written by: Bill Farmer

Indonesia’s upcoming elections will test the country’s relationship with Australia.

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New Reporting requirements for Australian businesses – Modern Slavery Act in Australia

written by: Dr Phoebe Wynn-Pope

The introduction of the Modern Slavery Act in New South Wales, will change the way business is conducted.

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The Threat to Western Democracy

written by: Rt Hon Sir Malcolm Rifkind KCMG QC

Democracy has come under threat from President Donald Trump’s disregard for the rules-based order and the growth of populism across the world.

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Reliability of power supply – at what cost?

written by: Noel Williams

Implementation of the National Energy Guarantee (NEG) looks set to pave a smoother road for Australia’s Energy Policy.  

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Turkey: now what?

written by: Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG

Turkey’s step towards an authoritarian one-man rule has accelerated with the re-election of President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

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Europe: A Continental Perspective & Brexit

written by: Jean-Marie Guéhenno

Momentum within Europe appears to be lagging, with Brexit one issue of many Brussels must address.

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The Horn of Africa at cross-roads

written by: Haile Menkerios

The Horn of Africa continues to face many challenges on its path towards unity.

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Modi: Running Again

written by: John McCarthy AO

Bhartiya Janata Party’s successful win in the country’s state elections signals the likelihood of a re-run for Prime Minister Narendra Modi in India’s 2019 general elections.

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China’s debt a factor in the trade arguments

written by: Michael Gill

China’s rising debt presents a trump card for the United States in the escalating trade wars.

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Mining in Africa: below ground opportunities, above ground risks

written by: Anna Rabin

Sub-Saharan Africa’s regulatory and political risks are changing the landscape for investment within the mining sector across the region.

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Australian foreign policy needs more silence

written by: John McCarthy AO

If Australia wants to deepen its relationships with major democracies in the Asia-Pacific, it must reconsider how it publicly frames its relationships with the US and China in favour of a more muted approach.

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Tanzania: Mining Sector Woes

written by: Anna Rabin

Tanzania has long been heralded as a destination for long-term investors, providing them with political stability and a degree of sustained domestic security experienced by few of its neighbours.

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When Life Gives You Lemons… Argentina Comes in From the Cold

written by: Liam Eldon

When Argentine President Mauricio Macri visited the White House in April, President Trump, announced the two countries were "great friends, better than ever before."

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The Failure of Energy Policy in Australia

written by: Hon Robert Hill AC

Soaring electricity and natural gas prices, as well as total blackouts and warnings of more to follow are evidence of one of the greatest failures of public policy in Australia for many years.

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The Papua New Guinea Elections and Beyond

written by: Bill Farmer AO

Anyone watching elections in PNG has to fasten their seat belts and prepare for a heck of a ride. The recent national elections have richly lived up to the country's reputation for robust politicking, as well as for less than optimal competence in the conduct of the poll.

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The Future is Not What It Used to Be

written by: Rt Hon Sir Malcolm Rifkind KCMG QC

By most reasonable criteria Theresa May and the Conservative Party had a stunning victory in the British General Election.

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Discord in the Gulf

written by: David Russell AM RFD QC

On 5 June 2017, three members of the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC), Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Bahrain announced measures restricting commercial and other exchanges between their citizens and Qatar.

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Australian Energy Policy

written by: Noel Williams

Australian Energy Policy has taken some rocky roads over the past few years, and it appears that this experience is likely to continue.

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Indonesia

written by: John McCarthy AO

The past six months have been the toughest for President Jokowi since his settling in period after the inauguration in late 2014.

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America’s Longest War (and No End in Sight)

written by: Tom Gregg

The 16-year old Afghanistan war is the longest war in the history of the U.S. military, and there are no indications that the conflict will abate.

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Turkey: Where Next?

written by: Sir Kieran Prendergast KCVO, CMG

In the past year, Turkey has taken two giant steps away from democratisation and towards authoritarian one-man rule by President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

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Media Reforms?

written by: Michael Gill

Visiting foreign executives have been known to observe that Australia’s media industry was the world’s most cutthroat.

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